Market Insight

Outlook Quarter 4/2024

2025: An Economy Facing External Challenges and Growing Internal Difficulties

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Market Insight

SCB EIC anticipates that the MPC still has room to lower the policy rate again next year.

Market Insight

SCB EIC expects CLMV economic growth in 2025 to slow down slightly, in line with the global economic slowdown. Domestic demand will help mitigate the external impact

CLMV economies face risks from US policy uncertainty and potential trade protectionism

Market Insight

October Export Growth Surpasses Expectations Driven by Gold and Electronics; SCB EIC Upgrades 2024 Outlook but Downgrades that of 2025 under Trump 2.0

Market Insight

Trump 2.0: Impact on the Global and Thai Economy

Market Insight

Exports in September continued to expand despite surrounding pressures, increasing the likelihood that the annual growth outlook will surpass the previous forecasts.

SCB EIC forecasted that Thai export values will grow by 2.6% this year and 2.8% next year (based on the August assessment).

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Market Insight

MPC Delivers Its First Rate Cut with Another Expected within Q1/2025

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Thai exports remain strong, supported by a boost from the upturn in the electronics product cycle.

Market Insight

Outlook Quarter 3/2024

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The Upturn in the Electronics Cycle and Gold Push Exports in July to the Highest Growth in Over Two Years

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SCB EIC Expects MPC to Begin Rate Cuts in Q4

Market Insight

Exports in June contracted slightly as drought slowed fruit exports to China. Looking ahead, exports in July are expected to recover.

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Exports performed well in May, supporting signs of continual growth in H2/2024 and 2025.

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Seizing the opportunities for Thai industry amid more severe decoupling

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SCB EIC expects MPC to start the policy rate cut in Q4

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Outlook Quarter 2/2024

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SCB EIC lowers Thailand’s 2024 export growth forecast to 2.6%, despite strong growth of 6.8% in April.

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Thai exports in March 2024

Market Insight

SCB EIC expects the MPC to cut policy rate 2 times this year starting at the June Meeting

Market Insight

Keep an eye on the 2024 measures to boost property sector