Market Insight

SCB EIC expects the MPC to keep policy rate steady at 2.5% throughout the year should growth and inflation outlook not turn out significantly weaker than the assessment.

The MPC voted 5 to 2 to maintain the policy rate at 2.50 percent. Two MPC members voted to cut the policy rate by 0.25 percentage point.

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Market Insight

Exports slightly contracted in 2023 but poised for a hopeful recovery to welcome the year of the dragon, though close monitoring on risks in the Red Sea is still necessary.

Market Insight

Thai exports grew in November, albeit at a slower pace than imports.

SCB EIC views that exports in December should continue to improve. However, such a performance should still not reflect better export conditions

Market Insight

Outlook Quarter 4/2023

Market Insight

Thai exports showed continued resilience in October. SCB EIC expects positive growth in Q4/2023

Market Insight

SCB EIC expects MPC to keep policy rate at 2.5% through next year

SCB EIC expects Thailand’s policy rate to remain steady at 2.5% through 2024, assessing that the current policy rate is already at the neutral level.

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Market Insight

Thai GDP in Q3/2023 remained worrisome, dragging overall 2023 growth amid all-rounded risks.

Market Insight

Thai exports in September maintained a 2 consecutive months growth, with expectations of continued momentum in Q4/2023

Market Insight

Charting the future of the global semiconductor industry and Thailand's next moves

Market Insight

Introducing new technologies to reduce steel industry emissions in Thailand.

Market Insight

Thai exports started to show signs of recovery in August. SCB EIC foresees a reversal towards expansion in 2024

Market Insight

MPC raised its policy rate to neutral rate of 2.5% as SCB EIC expected

Market Insight

Outlook Quarter 3/2023

Market Insight

The downward spiral in Thai exports persists in July; SCB EIC considers cutting Thailand’s 2023 export outlook.

Market Insight

SCB EIC anticipates another MPC rate hike to the Terminal rate at 2.5%.

Market Insight

Thai exports continue to decline in June. While the low base effect might aid export growth in the coming periods, risks stemming from China’s economic recovery warrant monitoring.

Market Insight

SCB EIC expects continued growth across CLMV economies thanks to an impetus from consumption and tourism despite downward pressures from the global economic slowdown and country-specific risks.

Market Insight

Thai exports in May performed better than anticipated, yet concerns loom over slowing Chinese economic recovery in the periods ahead.

Market Insight

Outlook Quarter 2/2023

Market Insight

Thai exports continued to fall in April, with worrying prospects from slowing Chinese economic momentum.

Economic Intelligence Center

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